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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.68+0.49vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.58-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.28-2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.78-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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3.49Northwestern University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.37Northwestern University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 38.5% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Logacho | 12.5% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 10.2% |
| Coby Parker | 14.4% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 6.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 20.7% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 3.3% |
| Julia Sachs | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 14.9% |
| Ben Bachan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.