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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-0.28+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+0.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.78-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-2.03+0.26vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.58-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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3.06Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
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3.49Northwestern University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey DeBruine | 17.6% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Michael Stone | 38.0% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 19.3% | 19.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 4.5% |
| Julia Sachs | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 27.2% | 12.0% |
| Ben Bachan | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 66.9% |
| Coby Parker | 13.2% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.