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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.32vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.29+1.04vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.58+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.78-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.28-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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3.04Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.45Northwestern University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 34.5% | 27.4% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 19.2% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Coby Parker | 14.4% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 8.2% |
| Julia Sachs | 12.0% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 27.6% | 11.8% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 17.2% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 6.9% |
| Ben Bachan | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.