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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.55vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+1.47vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.47+1.42vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.86-0.09vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.76+0.65vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.53-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.6%1st Place
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3.47Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.42Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.06Drexel University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.65Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
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2.94Monmouth University0.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Lawlor | 62.1% | 25.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 9.0% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 25.4% | 4.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 5.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 2.2% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 2.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 35.1% | 10.5% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 10.8% | 81.4% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 15.5% | 27.0% | 25.6% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.