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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.22vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+1.90vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.40-0.27vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.66vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.20-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.73Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.34Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 37.6% | 28.0% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 18.8% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 23.5% | 24.3% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.6% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 26.0% | 17.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.5% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.