Race 14A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kevin Reilly 3.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 5.3% 7.4% 5.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.2% 6.8% 9.3% 9.2% 5.7% 2.7% 1.1%
Alexander Sachs 4.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 6.6% 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 8.2% 7.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Sam Padnos 16.7% 11.7% 14.1% 12.2% 10.5% 10.6% 8.9% 4.9% 4.3% 2.6% 1.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Sabatt 9.1% 10.8% 9.8% 8.6% 10.0% 10.5% 9.5% 7.9% 6.7% 7.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Whitford 13.3% 13.4% 11.1% 11.3% 10.6% 9.3% 8.6% 8.3% 5.3% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Aswad 8.5% 8.7% 11.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.3% 8.9% 9.0% 6.8% 6.4% 4.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Halsey Richartz 13.4% 12.4% 10.8% 11.8% 9.5% 8.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.2% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Frederick Whitman 12.8% 13.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.9% 10.3% 8.4% 8.1% 5.1% 4.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Hluchan 4.6% 3.8% 5.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 6.1% 4.5% 1.7%
Meredith Carroll 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 8.9% 6.7% 9.2% 11.8% 10.1% 9.5% 9.5% 5.6% 1.6%
David Coplon 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 5.3% 4.6% 4.5% 6.2% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.5% 11.5% 5.6% 3.2%
Connor Fitzpatrick 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.2% 10.9% 13.5% 18.1% 13.4%
Paul Stevens 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 4.1% 5.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 7.1% 7.6% 9.8% 10.7% 12.2% 9.3% 9.8% 5.0%
Jennifer Mislinski 0.3% 1.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 8.3% 11.3% 18.3% 38.6%
Jeremy Pyke 1.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.7% 5.2% 7.8% 14.1% 22.2% 28.1%
Andrew Sayre 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.0% 3.7% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 10.0% 12.7% 13.5% 10.1% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.