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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+1.91vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.93vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.40-1.27vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.67vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.20-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.73Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.89Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 38.4% | 27.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 24.3% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 26.0% | 16.8% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 23.3% | 23.4% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.0% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 9.3% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.