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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.40+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+1.92vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.20+1.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87-2.72vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.28Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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3.25Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 22.4% | 25.4% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 18.7% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 50.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 25.3% | 18.2% |
| Paul Foley | 37.1% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.