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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.23vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.40+0.72vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.94vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.05vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20-0.10vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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2.72Oregon State University1.400.3%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.25Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 35.4% | 29.9% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 25.7% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 18.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 17.9% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 51.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.3% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.