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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.40+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+0.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.95vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.75vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20-0.10vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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2.18Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.25Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 23.2% | 25.0% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Paul Foley | 39.5% | 25.3% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 18.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.1% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 5.5% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 51.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.