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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.40+1.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+0.15vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+0.22vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52-0.98vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.20-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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2.15Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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3.22Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 21.9% | 26.0% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Paul Foley | 41.3% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.0% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 26.7% | 17.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 22.2% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.