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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+4.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+1.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+2.76vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+2.85vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+2.03vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92-0.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.44+0.41vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.96-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.31-0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.18-1.40vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.07-2.73vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.23-1.55vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.17-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.65Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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12.48Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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15.45Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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16.02Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.3% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Shaynah True | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Laura Smit | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 25.5% | 30.9% |
| Catherine Bristow | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.