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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+5.05vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.49vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+1.10vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+3.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.44+1.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11+1.58vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61-1.18vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.17+6.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-5.54vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-3.80vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.30-0.63vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.07-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.18-2.13vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.96-5.65vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.31-4.39vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.23-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.26University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.82Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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16.25Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.2George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.37Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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15.23Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 17.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Bristow | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 49.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shaynah True | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Laura Smit | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 6.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.