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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.25vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+3.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+3.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.44+0.48vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-0.08vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.07+1.45vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.30-0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.31-1.80vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.18-2.15vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.96-5.73vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.23-1.57vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.17-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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13.45University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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15.43Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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16.01Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smit | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Shaynah True | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Susan Riley | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| Catherine Bristow | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.