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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+5.59vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+2.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.21+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73-0.42vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44+2.06vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-2.59vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86-1.19vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-5.28vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.47+0.79vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.27-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.40vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-5.88vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.43-1.05vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.44-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.44George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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7.41Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.81Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.79Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.95Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 14.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Martina Sly | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 36.5% |
| Maya Smith | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 26.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.