← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.23+7.52vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.55+5.42vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.20+2.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+0.54vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.77+1.45vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.73+0.66vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.84-0.80vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.21+0.32vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.44+2.06vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.76-3.31vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.74-0.78vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.29vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.86-3.50vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia1.27-2.64vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington-0.16+0.39vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University0.47-2.00vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University-0.43-1.04vs Predicted
-
18University of Minnesota-0.44-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.52Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
7.42Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.28Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
4.54University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
6.45Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.66University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.2Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.32Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
-
11.06University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.69George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.22Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.5Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.36University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
-
15.39University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
14.0Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
-
15.96Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
15.71University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.4% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 24.2% | 22.6% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 8.6% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 35.7% |
| Maya Smith | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 26.0% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.