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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.51vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+4.73vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.21+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.27+7.55vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-1.86vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23-0.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-2.49vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.44-0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.16+2.25vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.86-4.51vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.44+0.95vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-9.41vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.47-2.98vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.02Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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15.75Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 23.3% |
| Paula Resto | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 34.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guo | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 28.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.