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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.96vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.86+7.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+1.79vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.71vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44+3.17vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-1.55vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.16+4.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-3.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.21-4.54vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-0.43+1.84vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-8.55vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.27-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.44-1.03vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.47-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Boston College4.010.3%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.12Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.13Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.79University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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15.42University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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15.84Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.88Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 25.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Price | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 32.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Maya Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 35.6% |
| Emily Guo | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.