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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+5.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+3.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+1.12vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+1.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+2.43vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73-1.35vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-2.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.21-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.27+0.82vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.44-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.16+1.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-10.38vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota-0.44-0.06vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.43-1.05vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.47-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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9.98Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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15.94University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.95Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.82Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Paula Resto | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 26.4% | 20.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 35.7% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 35.0% |
| Emily Guo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.