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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+6.47vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+4.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+1.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+1.13vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.46vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.44+5.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73-1.38vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.21-0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-3.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-2.46vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-1.97vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.27-2.56vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.47-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.57vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.43-1.05vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.44-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.68Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.13Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.03Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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13.97Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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15.43University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.95Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Riley Legault | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Paula Resto | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 23.3% | 23.6% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 34.6% |
| Maya Smith | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 27.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.