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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+5.16vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+4.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+5.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-0.40vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+0.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27+2.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-3.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-4.36vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-3.43vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.30+0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.44-3.40vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.15vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University-0.43-0.27vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.47-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.44-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.64University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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13.92Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.73Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.75Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.6% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 31.9% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Maya Smith | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.