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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+7.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+1.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+1.73vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.62vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-1.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.58vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.59+0.17vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.43+2.02vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.74+0.17vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-2.92vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.12-6.00vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.75-5.59vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.37Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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15.02Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.17Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.08Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.41Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Louise Currie | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| Miia Newman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 26.7% | 25.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 21.8% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.