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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.71vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+3.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.64vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.16vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.08vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.75+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.13vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.74+1.28vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-0.09+1.22vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.59-4.07vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.12-6.90vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.27Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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14.28Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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14.9Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Simone Staff | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 16.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 19.2% | 49.8% |
| Louise Currie | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.