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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+0.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.46vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-2.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.62vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.59+0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-3.20vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.09+2.06vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.75-3.80vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.74-1.52vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.48-1.84vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.45College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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12.22Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.2Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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14.48Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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15.16Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Louise Currie | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 45.8% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 15.7% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 26.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.