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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.74vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+7.73vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.12+4.91vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.49vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.53vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-2.27vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.94vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.95vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.75-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.24vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.74-2.53vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.27Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.47Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.89Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Kate Klement | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 51.4% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 18.5% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 26.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.