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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.69+9.35vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+8.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.25+5.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+3.05vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.84+3.79vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.77vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.53+7.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.17-0.98vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-2.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-1.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.31-0.46vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-0.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.16-6.72vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.61-5.24vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.62-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-6.66vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.60-8.20vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.13-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.63Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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15.2Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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13.92Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| William Brown | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 22.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.