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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.74vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+2.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.33vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.51vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.75+4.25vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+4.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-3.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12-1.78vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.59-2.45vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.96vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.25vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.74-2.46vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.25Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.09Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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16.25University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.54Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.9Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.2% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 2.6% |
| Simone Staff | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Louise Currie | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 51.1% |
| Abbie Probst | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 27.2% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.