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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+5.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.84vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+0.76vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-1.73vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.46vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-2.17vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.12-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.50vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.59-2.42vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.75-4.16vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.43-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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10.84Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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14.63Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
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15.6University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 17.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Louise Currie | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Miia Newman | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 30.8% | 28.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 19.3% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.