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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.07vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+2.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.51+2.49vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.21vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.74-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.69vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.17+1.94vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-4.49vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.53-1.44vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.37-1.97vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.16-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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15.94Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.51Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.56Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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12.51Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lena Captain | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 43.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Jenn Casey | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 18.8% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 25.2% |
| Mary Berg | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.