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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+7.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+3.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.56vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09-0.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.20vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.77+0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.51+0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.58vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-3.54vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.26+0.25vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.16-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.37-1.90vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.53-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.92College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.82Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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15.25Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.81Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.1University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.44Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 32.2% |
| Mary Berg | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 30.3% |
| Jenn Casey | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.