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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.20vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+1.16vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.77+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.59vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-0.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.51-1.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.35vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.16-2.21vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.26-0.60vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.53-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.37-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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12.79Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.4Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.77Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 34.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 24.5% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.