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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.55vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74+4.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51+3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.59vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.93vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-6.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.49vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.16-1.48vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.17+1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.37-0.98vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.53-2.33vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.77-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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12.52Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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16.09Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.67Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mary Berg | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Lena Captain | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 44.9% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Jenn Casey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.