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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+10.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+6.28vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.60vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-2.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.58vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.59vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-3.57vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.17+1.11vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.16-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.37-1.98vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.53-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.7University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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16.11Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.81Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.41Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.1% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Lena Captain | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 21.0% | 46.4% |
| Mary Berg | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| Jenn Casey | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.