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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+9.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+2.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+1.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+3.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46-0.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-3.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.60vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.26+2.05vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-1.51vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.52vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.37-1.01vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.16-4.19vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.53-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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15.05Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.49Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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12.81Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.39Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 31.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 28.3% |
| Mary Berg | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Jenn Casey | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.