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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+5.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.75vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.33vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+4.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.37+4.45vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.16+1.46vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26+2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.51-1.68vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.74-4.54vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.91vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.96College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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12.15Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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12.46Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.65Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 31.2% |
| Mary Berg | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 19.4% | 39.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.