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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+7.11vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+7.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.70vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91+0.80vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92+0.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-2.38vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-1.41vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.35vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-4.54vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-4.71vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.40vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.62Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.6University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 21.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Mary Paz | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.