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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+8.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.78vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+5.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.18vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.72vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.36vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-3.07vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-5.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.93vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-6.35vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.99Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.54University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.8Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.17Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.65Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 15.8% |
| Simone Staff | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 15.6% |
| Mary Paz | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 22.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Emma White | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.