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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+7.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.84vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+2.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.60vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.19+3.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.11vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-3.18vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.48vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-2.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.28vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.73vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.49vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.56Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.6George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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12.51University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.4Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.5% |
| Simone Staff | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% |
| Mary Paz | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.