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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+10.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.77vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+4.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.99vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99+0.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44+1.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-3.74vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-1.97vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-3.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.18vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-7.18vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.37-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.83Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.77Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.36Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.9George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lola Bushnell | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.7% |
| Maeve White | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Emma White | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Mary Paz | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Simone Staff | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 17.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.