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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.44+9.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+7.45vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.26vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-0.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99+0.34vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+1.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.58vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.36vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.36vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.90vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.88Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.94Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.45Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Amina Brown | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.8% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Emma White | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Simone Staff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.