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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+4.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+3.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.55vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.58vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.27vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.78vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-3.87vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-0.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.19vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-4.87vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.44-5.14vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.58Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.04Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.47Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.13George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.28University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Emma White | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| Simone Staff | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Mary Paz | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.