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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.92vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+3.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.80vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99+1.31vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.62vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.61vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44+0.84vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-3.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-3.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.03vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.19-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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12.46University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.45Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emma White | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% |
| Simone Staff | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.