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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.91vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+7.09vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.44+7.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.79vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+4.51vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+1.80vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+2.24vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-4.35vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.71vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.86vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-4.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-2.51vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-10.04vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.09Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.63Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.65Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.49University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Maeve White | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Mary Paz | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 20.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Simone Staff | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.