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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+7.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+5.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+4.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.25vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-0.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.41vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.08vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-0.40vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-1.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.92vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-3.14vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.44-3.24vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-6.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.88vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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9.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.76Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Maeve White | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Mary Paz | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 21.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.