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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+8.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.03vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+5.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99+0.51vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+1.47vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-2.97vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-4.73vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-3.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.44-5.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.03Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.35Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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11.47George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.0Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 20.0% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.7% |
| Mary Paz | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% |
| Simone Staff | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.