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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+8.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+6.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+4.50vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+5.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.93vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-0.18vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44+2.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.07vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-1.74vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.01-9.59vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.45vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.92-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.75Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.44Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.0Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.55Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mary Paz | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Simone Staff | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 16.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.