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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+7.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.72vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.44+3.56vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.96vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-3.95vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-5.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.11vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-5.80vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.33Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.56Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.05Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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12.89U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.48University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Mary Paz | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Maeve White | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.