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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.29vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+9.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.21+6.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.20vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46+2.84vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.73+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-2.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-2.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.83vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.55-4.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.06vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-7.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-11.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.79Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.2College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.84Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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10.42Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.94Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Price | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 16.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Martina Sly | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 15.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.