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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+8.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-1.43vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-0.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23+0.18vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.89vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.21-2.41vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.45vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-7.25vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.58-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.14Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.67Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.18Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Martina Sly | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Price | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Riley Legault | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.