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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+7.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+8.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+3.10vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58+0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.04vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.25vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-7.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.21-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.27vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.84-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.24Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.12Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Riley Legault | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Price | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 16.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 19.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.